Coming into today (Day 3 at Wimbledon), my simulations had Jessica Pegula as the 2nd favorite to win the tournament, with a 15.4% probability of bringing home the Venus Rosewater dish and Belinda Bencic a fairly distant 3rd at 10.9%. They both won today, but their title chances completely reversed. Now, Bencic is the 2nd favorite at 17.5% while Pegula has slipped below both Bencic and Madison Keys to 4th favorite at 8.6%. But how does something like this happen? Thanks to the